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Technical Analysis

What Is Fibonacci Retracement?

Fibonacci retracement levels (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) mark potential support and resistance zones based on the Fibonacci sequence. They're widely used to identify pullback entry points.

Definition

Fibonacci retracement uses horizontal lines at key percentages (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%) between a significant high and low to identify potential support or resistance zones. These ratios come from the Fibonacci sequence — a series where each number is the sum of the two before it (0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13...).

The 61.8% level — called the 'golden ratio' — is the most significant. In a trending stock, pullbacks often find support near the 38.2% or 61.8% Fibonacci retracement before the trend continues. The 50% level is also heavily watched even though it's not a Fibonacci ratio per se.

Fibonacci retracements are drawn from a swing low to a swing high (for an uptrend). If a stock rallies from $50 to $100, the 61.8% retracement would be at $61.80 ($100 - $38.20). This level often provides strong support because many traders are watching it simultaneously.

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Real-World Example

A stock rallies from $40 to $100 in a strong uptrend. It then pulls back. A trader draws Fibonacci retracements from the $40 swing low to $100 high. The 38.2% level is at $76.92; the 61.8% level is at $62.92. If the stock pulls back to the 61.8% level around $63 and bounces with strong volume, it's a classic Fibonacci support entry.

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Why It Matters

Fibonacci retracements are a self-fulfilling tool — because so many traders watch these levels, buying and selling occurs there, making the levels meaningful. Whether or not you believe in Fibonacci, you should know where these levels are because others act on them.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the most important Fibonacci levels?

The 61.8% (golden ratio) is the most significant, followed by the 38.2% and 50% levels. Shallow retracements to 23.6% indicate strong momentum; deep retracements to 78.6% signal weakening trend. Most traders focus on 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% as the primary support zones.

Does Fibonacci actually work?

It's debated. Studies show results at Fibonacci levels are marginally better than random, largely due to self-fulfilling prophecy. The key is using Fibonacci in confluence with other signals: if a 61.8% retracement also aligns with a prior resistance level (now support) and the 200-day SMA, the combined signal is much more reliable.

How do I draw Fibonacci retracement levels?

Most charting platforms (TradingView, thinkorswim) have a built-in Fibonacci retracement tool. Click from the swing low to the swing high for an uptrend; from the swing high to swing low for a downtrend. The software automatically draws the levels between those two points.

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